Influence of Climate and Non-Climatic Factors on Global Food Security Index: A Cross-Sectional Country-Wise Analysis
Journal Title: SOCIALSCI JOURNAL - Year 2018, Vol 1, Issue 1
Abstract
The present study estimates the influence of climatic and non-climatic factors on global food security (GFSI) for 103 across countries. It also identify that which group of countries is highly vulnerable in food insecurity due to climate change and variability in socio-economic variables. For this, global food security index (GFSI) which is created by Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) considers as a dependent variable, that is regressed with climatic factors (i.e., annual mean temperature and annual precipitation) and non-climatic variables (i.e. cereal yield, per capita land under cereal production, population growth rate, consumer price inflation and forest area) using linear regression model. Estimates indicates that climatic factors (i.e., mean temperature and precipitation) show a negative and statistically significant influence on GFSI. Furthermore, empirical results based on ordinary least square (OLS) model shows that GFSI may be decreased by 1.70% with 1% increase in mean temperature. GFSI has also negatively influenced with rising population growth rate and inflation. Lower and low income group countries are most vulnerable as compared to high income group countries. The major findings of this study suggested that price inflation and high population growth rate are most responsible variables for food insecurity in most developing countries like India.
Authors and Affiliations
Ajay Kumar Singh
Keywords
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