Multifactor models for studying the EU countries’ international trade
Journal Title: Economic Annals-XXI - Year 2019, Vol 175, Issue 1
Abstract
Successful decision-making in the field of international trade is a background for further development of international trade in a balance between the economic interests of its participants. It is based on use of the latest tools for making such decisions, in particular, multifactor methods for economic processes analysis. The purpose of this study is to develop multifactor models of the international trade study by using factor, cluster and discriminant analyses to determine the quality of the model results depending on the method used. In the process of study, the following general scientific and special methods were used: system analysis to determine the directions of the international trade study; cluster analysis, factor and discriminant analysуs for the development of multifactor models of the international trade study. Based on the results of factor analysis, 13 indicators were grouped according to their influence. With the help of cluster modelling, the EU countries were grouped according to quantitative indicators such as GDP, final consumption expenditure and gross capital formation. According to discriminant analysis, significance of the selected factors was interpreted. Consequently, such factors as exports and imports of goods and services, the population size and emigration of population have direct significant impact on the countries’ economic development, namely on GDP, final consumption expenditure and gross capital formation. Theoretical and methodological provisions are brought to the level of specific and practical proposals to form the basis of studying indicators of international trade and develop specific models for studying international trade by using multifactor modelling alternative methods.
Authors and Affiliations
Nataliia Dziubanovska
Dynamic modelling of nonlinearities in the behaviour of labour market indicators in Ukraine and Poland
The paper studies asymmetries in cyclical behaviour of the Ukrainian and Polish labour markets, accompanied by significant nonlinear fluctuations in economic activity and the unemployment rate due to economic instability...
Tourısm and economıc development: analysıs and assessment of linkages
The article deals with the linkages between the country’s economy and the tourism industry, as well as the extent to which the relevant positive and negative factors impact economic indicators. Special attention is paid...
The economic public sphere: theoretical substantiation and structural construction
In contemporary economic communication, there are many concepts and aspects that require understanding with the participation of the collective mind. In this sense, the concept of economic public sphere is an innovative...
Assessing the contagion effect on herding behaviour under segmented and integrated stock markets circumstances in the USA, China, and ASEAN-5
This paper investigates the contagion effect of herding behaviour in the US, China, and ASEAN-5 stock markets by considering the level of market integration. We employed individual stocks and market returns on daily basi...
Online retailers’ management system of marketing commodity policy
Introduction. In the conditions of continuous change and bifurcations of the marketing environment, the system of management of marketing commodity policy (SMMCP) of online retailers is impacted by a set of immanent comp...