Supply and Demand Analysis of Water Resources based on System Dynamics Model
Journal Title: Journal of Engineering and Technological Sciences - Year 2017, Vol 49, Issue 6
Abstract
Humans require clean water for industrial, agricultural, domestic and ecological purposes. Due to climate change and population increase, the lack of clean water resources is becoming more and more serious. A system dynamics model of water resources is proposed for alleviating water shortage, changing the imbalance between supply and demand, promoting sustainable patterns of consumption and production, protecting and managing water resources. First, a water supply and demand model combining principles and methods of system dynamics was constructed by analyzing the factors that influence water resources. The model is divided into five subsystems according to the water’s purpose, i.e. a supply amount subsystem, an industrial water subsystem, an agricultural water subsystem, an ecological and domestic water subsystem, and a sewage water subsystem. In the model, the supply and demand index can indicate whether scarcity occurs as well as the degree of scarcity. The province of Shandong, China was picked as object of research. Relevant statistical data were analyzed to predict the supply and demand index in Shandong in 15 years using the model. Water scarcity in Shandong is explained through social and environmental drivers by addressing physical and economic decline. Finally, an intervention plan was formulated to avoid water shortage from occurring in the next 15 years.
Authors and Affiliations
Liguo Huang, Li Yin
Keywords
Related Articles
- EP ID EP324250
- DOI 10.5614/j.eng.technol.sci.2017.49.6.1
- Views 111
- Downloads 0
Synchronicity of Stress Wave Propagation in Bolt Body and Anchorage Medium
Accurate assessment of anchoring quality depends on the accuracy of assessing stress wave velocity in the anchor system. Stress wave velocity is closely related to collaborative vibration and depends on the degree of bon...
Production and Delivery Batch Scheduling with Multiple Due Dates to Minimize Total Cost
This paper addresses an integrated production and delivery batch scheduling problem for a make-to-order environment over daily time period, where the holding costs of in-process and completed parts at a supplier location...
Treatment Optimization of Electrocoagulation (EC) in Purifying Palm Oil Mill Effluents (POMEs)
Palm oil mill effluents (POMEs) can contaminate soil, groundwater, and also the water environment. The increasing production of crude palm oil in Indonesia produces an enormous amount of POME waste. Therefore, a method i...
An Analysis of the Effect of the Implementation of an Integrated Management System (IMS) on Work Ergonomics in an O&M Power Plant Company
Ergonomics has developed significantly for the prevention of related accidents. Its implementation, however, depends on the existing management system within a company. The integrated management system (IMS) is frequentl...
Application of Large-Scale 3D Non-Orthogonal Boundary Fitted Sediment Transport Model and Small-Scale Approach for Offshore Structure in Cimanuk Delta North Java Sea
The morphology of the Cimanuk Delta at the North Java Sea has changed rapidly over the last two decades. The annual sediment deposition is about two million cubic meters (Yuanita and Tingsanchali, [1]). The large-scale o...