CALCULATED VERSUS IDEOLOGICAL MOTIVES: THE LOGIC OF NATIONAL AND REGIONAL COALITION FORMATION IN UKRAINE
Journal Title: Идеология и политика (рус) / Ідеологія і політика (укр) / Ideology and Politics (Eng) - Year 2018, Vol 9, Issue 1
Abstract
This article proceeds from the assertion that the neopatrimonial essence of the Ukrainian state not only transforms the institutional status and actual function of coalitions, but also the process of coalition formation both at the national and regional levels. Therefore, the subject of this study is the formation and function of parliamentary and regional council alliances in Ukraine and the logic behind them. To define what factors (pragmatic strategies, ideological proximity, or informal “patronal politics”) determine the process of forming coalitions in Ukraine, this article puts forward the first empirical test of classical theories of coalition formation within Ukrainian research discourse. The empirical study is based on materials from the 3rd-8th convocations of the Verkhovna Rada (1998-2018) and all acting regional councils of the southeastern regions. Based on the results of their empirical tests, the authors of the article argue that, at the national level, "minimal-winning" or "minimal-winning-with one securing faction" coalitions are typically formed, whereas regional councils are prone to forming broader models of coalitions. In terms of ideological proximity, this article suggests that the formation of coalitions based on party antagonisms across the ideological scale is common at both the national and regional level. The results of the analysis on regional councils also demonstrates that their predominantly patronal-subordinate role and function in relation to presidential administrations can be clearly traced. Furthermore, despite the election results and different possible coalition configurations available, the “party of power” regularly captures the biggest share of real power and, ultimately, becomes the key coalition player, whereas regional councils de facto acquire the function of “offices” whose only job it is to confirm the decisions of regional administrations.
Authors and Affiliations
Anton Avksentiev, Valentyna Kyselova
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